Google+ 市場受到慣性作用,下跌趨勢是難以改變方向的!!!! <g:plusone size="medium"></g:plusone> - Lee Li's Speculator Ponders

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StockPreacher & StockPicker :

股價低買高賣的準則

一、前言
股市競爭比戰場還激烈,要買什麼股票?要賣什麼股票?必須要有一一致性、完備性且是決定性的公設(postulate)或公理(axiom)做為股市戰場的作戰準則 --- 低買高賣。

二、股價低買高賣的準則
股價低於內在價值時就堅決分批買入,以實現“低買”作戰準則;反過來,股價遠高於內在價值時,就應該分批賣出股票,以實現“高賣”作戰準則。(確定你持股的股價比(P/X)在本blog表頭分配圖的哪一區間,及其臨界點)

三、買什麼股票的作戰準則
當股價 / 內在價值處於收歛,其趨近於臨界值域下限時是最佳的買入時價區域,也就是:d(P/V) → 0,且d(d(P/V)) > 0 ;

四、賣什麼股票的作戰準則
當股價 / 內在價值處於發散,其趨近於臨界值域上限時是最佳的賣出時價區域,也就是:d(P/V) → 0,且d(d(P/V)) < 0 ;

五、實戰之實證與情報
此實證與情報等情資已於MICS-Stock Picker表裡全盤托出,細心的價值投資作戰戰士,請自行察閱。

本文更詳盡的解析,請搜尋下表資料裡的電子書:恐慌與機會。

你可以在最近的分析文章中及MICS-Stock Picker表中挑選到所需要價值投資的股票標的。

2008/3/17

市場受到慣性作用,下跌趨勢是難以改變方向的!!!!

Lee Li 評論:
雖然Fed上週的$200 billions的紓困計畫,但仍然未能及時挽救貝爾斯登(BSC) 投資人的信心危機,貝爾斯登股價上週五重挫47%,至30美元,創下有史以來最大跌幅。

Fed緊接著調降對銀行直接放款的貼現率至3.25%,縮減與聯邦基金利率的利差,由0.5%縮小至0.25%。Fed表示,此措施至少維持六個月。
此舉旨在穩定市場流動性與促進市場正常運作,而流動性與運作良好的市場才能穩定經濟的成長。

Fed Takes New Steps to Ease Crisis

Sunday March 16, 8:13 pm ET
By Jeannine Aversa, AP Economics Writer

Fed Takes Steps to Ease Crisis, Cuts Lending Rate to Financial Institutions to 3.25 Percent

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Federal Reserve announced a series of new steps Sunday to help provide relief to a spreading credit crisis that threatens to plunge the economy into recession.
The central bank approved a cut to its lending rate to financial institutions to 3.25 percent from 3.50 percent, effective immediately, and created another lending facility for big investment banks to secure short-term loans.
The steps are "designed to bolster market liquidity and promote orderly market functioning," the Fed said in a statement. "Liquid well-functioning markets are essential for the promotion of economic growth."
The new lending facility will be available to financial institutions on Monday.
It will be in place for at least six months and "may be extended as conditions warrant," the Fed said. The interest rate will be 3.25 percent and a range of collateral will be accepted to back the loans.
The Fed also approved the financing arrangement announced Sunday in which JPMorgan Chase & Co. will acquire rival Bear Stearns Cos. The deal valued at $236.2 million, a stunning collapse for one of the world's largest and most venerable investment banks. The Fed will provide special financing to JPMorgan Chase for the deal, JPMorgan Chase said. The central bank has agreed to fund up to $30 billion of Bear Stearns' less liquid assets.
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said he was pleased by Sunday's developments.
"Last Friday, I said that market participants are addressing challenges and I am pleased with recent developments. I appreciate the additional actions taken this evening by the Federal Reserve to enhance the stability, liquidity and orderliness of our markets," he said.
The Fed's actions are the latest in a recent string of unconventional steps to deal with a worsening credit crisis that has unhinged Wall Street. And, the action comes just two days before the central bank's scheduled meeting on Tuesday, where another big cut to a key interest rate that affects millions of people and businesses is expected to be ordered.
The "discount" rate cut announced Sunday covers only short-term loans that financial institutions get directly from the Federal Reserve.
Even with the Fed's aggressive moves, economic and financial conditions keep deteriorating.
The Fed in recent days has taken extraordinary steps to help banks and Wall Street investment firms survive the stresses of the credit crisis. Financial institutions have racked up multibillion-dollar losses when mortgage-backed investments soured with the collapse of the housing market.
The Fed this past week also said it would pour as much as $200 billion into big Wall Street banks and investment houses and allow them to put up risky home-loan packages as collateral. This maneuver was intended to bring sorely needed relief in the market for mortgage securities. The Fed also has offered as much as $200 billion in short-term loans to banks and large financial institutions.
AP Business writers Joe Bel Bruno and Madlen Read contributed to the report from New York.

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