Preface
Encounter the vagaries of the stock market, investors are often lost in the flood of the media, news and information, it is difficult for investors to make accurate judgments.
How to pick stocks with potential growth? What elements constitute the nature of stocks with the potential growth ? When encounter the decline in the company's performance and how to determine whether the sell or continue to hold?
Due to many factors (more trade execution by the computer program, enormous growth in institutional investment portfolio size, large-scale aggressive hedge funds, as well as the dizzying complexity of media news and information) under the interaction. Over many years, the situation in Taiwan stock index and stock price movements get more and more elusive, during which there are many short-term, drastic changes, leading to more intense change and reversal.
The key to successful investment
Now, more and more insignificant news and events in the stocks market with the changes, that make you have to counter with fast speed to do some untimely transactions which should be long-term investment in this stock. It is the key to investment success to encounter each important events without intervention of emotion with greed and fear.
MICS-Stock Picker model
I has been an industry researcher and a strategy analyst,and now I am a stock picking expert, and I have a master's degree of MSM and a background in mathematics.
In this Blog, I have been keeping showing the rules of argument and the empirical results of MICS-Stock Picker model, which is the core mechanism of selecting stocks, instead of securities analysis. Lots of content is my practical experiences.
These practical experiences and MICS-Stock Picker principle, help me to more effectively prevent the impulse that the majority of investors have it to trade by depending on the market situation. In 2008, when the financial storm was sweeping the globe, the stock quickly dropped sharply, the market appears irrational panic, I almost become equally irrational. However, by adhering to the principles of MICS-Stock Picker and control my emotions, I avoid the red as the market explosion.
Stock Market mechanism is used to discount the good and the bad in future, the current price changes reflect most investors with thus behavior. Most Irrational and emotional investors in the stock market do not know what will happen next. Using the MICS-Stock Picker law ,investors go in the future with confidence, learn to apply MICS-Stock Picker ,investors eventually will get the most benefits from their portfolios.
Grasp the great opportunity of Taiwan Stock Index has been falling 810.25 points
The Taiwan stock index has been falling from high (9220.69) back below the year average line (8532.90) . In this period, MICS-Stock Picker's trading principles and knowledge played a good role, which can help me grasp the great opportunity of Taiwan Stock Index has been falling 810.25 points, I can use a very low price to buy a large number of blue chip stocks with potential growth.
Catch approaching the Ceiling price
Unless there is reason for people not non-letter (for example, your knowledge is about to happen to tell you the market positive, positive change), it is the worst that the purchase price is higher than the expectations of the mainstream in the stock market (the highest price expectations) .
When the stock is overvalued, investors naturally difficult to buy good stocks at reasonable prices, and it unable to find another to replace the stock you sold. But it does not matter, it's ok as long as keep waiting, be patient and look for assessment of the value and the related stocks' critical point in the table of MICS-Stock Picker.
Catch approaching the floor price
In turn, it is applicable to sell the stocks at lower price. Fear or sensing the market will continue to decline and sold out the stocks at lower price, that may make you rich, this is the painful experience of many investors, the solution is to concern about the assessment of its value and the related critical point in the table of MICS-Stock Picker.
Which stocks should be picked?
View the table of MICS-Stock Picker, some good stocks with potential growth should be picked, which their values are marked red and their P(closed price) stay in the range of green or blue.
StockPreacher & StockPicker :
股價低買高賣的準則
一、前言
股市競爭比戰場還激烈,要買什麼股票?要賣什麼股票?必須要有一一致性、完備性且是決定性的公設(postulate)或公理(axiom)做為股市戰場的作戰準則 --- 低買高賣。
二、股價低買高賣的準則
股價低於內在價值時就堅決分批買入,以實現“低買”作戰準則;反過來,股價遠高於內在價值時,就應該分批賣出股票,以實現“高賣”作戰準則。(確定你持股的股價比(P/X)在本blog表頭分配圖的哪一區間,及其臨界點)
三、買什麼股票的作戰準則
當股價 / 內在價值處於收歛,其趨近於臨界值域下限時是最佳的買入時價區域,也就是:d(P/V) → 0,且d(d(P/V)) > 0 ;
四、賣什麼股票的作戰準則
當股價 / 內在價值處於發散,其趨近於臨界值域上限時是最佳的賣出時價區域,也就是:d(P/V) → 0,且d(d(P/V)) < 0 ;
五、實戰之實證與情報
此實證與情報等情資已於MICS-Stock Picker表裡全盤托出,細心的價值投資作戰戰士,請自行察閱。
一、前言
股市競爭比戰場還激烈,要買什麼股票?要賣什麼股票?必須要有一一致性、完備性且是決定性的公設(postulate)或公理(axiom)做為股市戰場的作戰準則 --- 低買高賣。
二、股價低買高賣的準則
股價低於內在價值時就堅決分批買入,以實現“低買”作戰準則;反過來,股價遠高於內在價值時,就應該分批賣出股票,以實現“高賣”作戰準則。(確定你持股的股價比(P/X)在本blog表頭分配圖的哪一區間,及其臨界點)
三、買什麼股票的作戰準則
當股價 / 內在價值處於收歛,其趨近於臨界值域下限時是最佳的買入時價區域,也就是:d(P/V) → 0,且d(d(P/V)) > 0 ;
四、賣什麼股票的作戰準則
當股價 / 內在價值處於發散,其趨近於臨界值域上限時是最佳的賣出時價區域,也就是:d(P/V) → 0,且d(d(P/V)) < 0 ;
五、實戰之實證與情報
此實證與情報等情資已於MICS-Stock Picker表裡全盤托出,細心的價值投資作戰戰士,請自行察閱。
本文更詳盡的解析,請搜尋下表資料裡的電子書:恐慌與機會。
2011/7/15
Which stocks should be picked and why?
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