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StockPreacher & StockPicker :

股價低買高賣的準則

一、前言
股市競爭比戰場還激烈,要買什麼股票?要賣什麼股票?必須要有一一致性、完備性且是決定性的公設(postulate)或公理(axiom)做為股市戰場的作戰準則 --- 低買高賣。

二、股價低買高賣的準則
股價低於內在價值時就堅決分批買入,以實現“低買”作戰準則;反過來,股價遠高於內在價值時,就應該分批賣出股票,以實現“高賣”作戰準則。(確定你持股的股價比(P/X)在本blog表頭分配圖的哪一區間,及其臨界點)

三、買什麼股票的作戰準則
當股價 / 內在價值處於收歛,其趨近於臨界值域下限時是最佳的買入時價區域,也就是:d(P/V) → 0,且d(d(P/V)) > 0 ;

四、賣什麼股票的作戰準則
當股價 / 內在價值處於發散,其趨近於臨界值域上限時是最佳的賣出時價區域,也就是:d(P/V) → 0,且d(d(P/V)) < 0 ;

五、實戰之實證與情報
此實證與情報等情資已於MICS-Stock Picker表裡全盤托出,細心的價值投資作戰戰士,請自行察閱。

本文更詳盡的解析,請搜尋下表資料裡的電子書:恐慌與機會。

你可以在最近的分析文章中及MICS-Stock Picker表中挑選到所需要價值投資的股票標的。

2008/11/7

I'm Alive to Surrender Personal Will to Divine Will !


Obama is appreciated and admired : Change is Constant → Seek only the Truth → Surrender My Personal Will to Divine Will → Lower is Divine power → Live in the Present Moment.

In the next couple of days after the U.S. presidential election , We are going to focus on the fact that we still have these issues that aren't resolved.
The Commerce Department said Tuesday that factory orders fell 2.5 percent in September from August, much worse than the 0.7 percent drop analysts predicted. But investors generally expect data from September and October to be extremely weak, as credit markets began to seize up in mid-September.

Obama's remarks calmed the market after the day's economic reports pointed to more weakness. The government reported that unemployment at recessionary levels, new home sales at their lowest level in nearly 18 years, another plunge in consumer spending, and factory orders for big-ticket items down by the largest amount in two years.

Analysts believe much of the bad news is already factored into stock prices; last week before the presidential election saw the Dow rise 11.3 percent -- its best weekly gain in 34 years. But major indexes have lost about 10 percent since Barack Obama was elected president -- a vote preceded by a steep rally -- and the losses represent the Dow's worst two-day percentage decline since the October 1987 crash.

What can we do? only can we do to surrender personial will to divine will, and down in the river or up on the hill to pray the Amazing Grace of God giveing us a hand.

具領先指標作用的工廠訂單約須經12季的生產運輸交貨,才會轉化成為損益表裡的銷售金額和獲利。

美國、產業、廠商及個人現已身處漸凍惡境中,Obama被選為總統後,此狀況勢必更加惡,而身為以美國為主的供應鍊中一環的台灣,其目前面臨的威脅與劣勢是大量依賴海外市場,其廠商接單趨勢為其景氣狀況的重要領先指標,也是其股市基本面走勢的重要領先指標。
若經營管理無效力,現在起多數國家、產業、廠商及個人的損益平衡表和資財負債表之表現勢必每下愈況。

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